Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3961
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
MQ 3961 · CMH → ORD
departs 1:55 PM ET · arrives 2:29 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 AM ET · 7h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 11%
Mon 10/5 20%
Tue 10/6 21%
Wed 10/7 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±0 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
45%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
9%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.7d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave CMH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +19 pts in 24h
+19 pts
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
9%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at CMH that day
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↑
ORD is busy at that time
↓
Other factors
↓
CMH usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
CMH (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.38 in
ORD (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 2,800 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.10 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.