Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3984
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
MQ 3984 · ABI → PHX
departs 6:24 AM CT · arrives 6:33 AM MT
Forecast issued Fri 3:00 AM ET · 4h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 12%
Sun 10/4 10%
Mon 10/5 11%
Tue 10/6 10%
Wed 10/7 9%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
9%
chance · ±0 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
9%
Leave 15+ late
7%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
9%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
3.4d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Leave ABI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Arrive at PHX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
9%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
PHX is prone to delays
↑
MQ's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 18% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
ABI (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.06 in
PHX (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.