Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3985
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
MQ 3985 · XNA → DFW
departs 7:13 AM CT · arrives 8:45 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 AM ET · 7h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 39%
Sun 10/4 18%
Mon 10/5 18%
Tue 10/6 13%
Wed 10/7 14%
Thu 10/8 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
48%
chance · ±0 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
48%
Leave 15+ late
34%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
17%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.4d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Leave XNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
43%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
17%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.6 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
Cloud base down to 800 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at XNA that day
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
XNA (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 4.2 mi Precip 0.59 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.55 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.