Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 4050
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
MQ 4050 · GRK → DFW
departs 6:30 AM CT · arrives 7:36 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 AM ET · 2h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 30%
Sun 10/4 22%
Mon 10/5 11%
Tue 10/6 6%
Wed 10/7 6%
Thu 10/8 6%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±0 pts
−9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
13%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.4d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave GRK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed −12 pts in 24h
−12 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
13%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 900 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, 1.5 in of rain forecast at GRK that day
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
6am departures from GRK are usually not late
Weather at each end
GRK (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 1.39 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.43 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.