Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 4065 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Tomorrow

MQ 4065 · DFW → CRP

departs 10:38 PM CT · arrives 11:59 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 4:00 AM ET · 44h before departure

Arrive at CRP more than 15 minutes late?

39% chance · ±10 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CRP?

On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
10%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 10pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.7 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ 0.8 in of rain forecast at CRP that day

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ CRP usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility5 mi Precip1.09 in

CRP (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.85 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 4065 · DFW → CRP

Odds over time

How late will it get to CRP?