Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 4073
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
MQ 4073 · CMI → DFW
departs 7:29 AM CT · arrives 9:50 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 AM ET · 4h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 35%
Sun 10/4 20%
Mon 10/5 15%
Wed 10/7 9%
Thu 10/8 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±0 pts
−6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
13%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.4d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave CMI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
13%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 900 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↑
MQ's recent on-time record
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
7am departures from CMI are usually not late
Weather at each end
CMI (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.32 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.45 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.