Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 4089
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
MQ 4089 · SLC → PHX
departs 6:50 PM MT · arrives 7:35 PM MT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 AM ET · 11h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
29%
chance · ±0 pts
+9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
29%
Leave 15+ late
23%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
5%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.0d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
29%
Yes 29%
No 71%
Leave SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Arrive at PHX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into PHX at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 24% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SLC
Weather at each end
SLC (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
PHX (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.