Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 4097
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2
MQ 4097 · BTR → DFW
departs 11:29 AM CT · arrives 1:10 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 10h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Today 29%
Mon 10/5 13%
Fri 10/9 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±0 pts
−11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
33%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
4%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.6d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed −11 pts in 24h
−11 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave BTR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed −10 pts in 24h
−10 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↑
Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late
↓
Other factors
↓
BTR usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
BTR (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DFW (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.