tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 4104 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

MQ 4104 · STL → ORD

departs 9:08 AM CT · arrives 10:36 AM CT
Forecast issued Tue 5:00 PM ET · 65h before departure
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
18% chance · ±1 pts +5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 3.5d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to ORD?

  1. On time or early
    81%
  2. 15–30 min late
    3%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    7%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    4%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    4%
  6. Cancelled
    2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.