Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 4168
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Yesterday
MQ 4168 · CRP → DFW
departs 7:12 AM CT · arrives 8:50 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 14h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Today 20%
Sun 10/4 20%
Mon 10/5 8%
Tue 10/6 5%
Wed 10/7 6%
Thu 10/8 6%
Fri 10/9 6%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±0 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
17%
Cancelled
10%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.4d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave CRP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −13 pts in 24h
−13 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
10%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 900 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↑
0.3 in of rain forecast at CRP that day
↓
CRP usually runs smoothly
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
CRP (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 1,200 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.11 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.