Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 4208
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
MQ 4208 · DFW → BIS
departs 8:13 PM CT · arrives 10:59 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 11:00 PM ET · 22h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 30%
Sun 10/4 30%
Mon 10/5 18%
Tue 10/6 11%
Wed 10/7 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at BIS more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±6 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
4%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.0d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BIS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at BIS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to BIS?
On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.6 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
8pm departures from DFW are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
BIS usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.56 in
BIS (destination)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.