Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 4282
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
MQ 4282 · DFW → COU
departs 8:33 PM CT · arrives 10:20 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 2:00 PM ET · 8h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 33%
Sun 10/4 28%
Mon 10/5 17%
Wed 10/7 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at COU more than 15 minutes late?
56%
chance · ±0 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
56%
Leave 15+ late
53%
Arrive 1h+ late
30%
Cancelled
5%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
4.0d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at COU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
56%
Yes 56%
No 44%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
53%
Yes 53%
No 47%
Arrive at COU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +13 pts in 24h
+13 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to COU?
On time or early
42%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
25%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
8pm departures from DFW are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Cloud base down to 400 ft forecast at COU that day
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.36 in
COU (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.08 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.