Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 4308
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
MQ 4308 · DFW → GPT
departs 9:12 PM CT · arrives 10:57 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 AM ET · 16h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 28%
Sun 10/4 25%
Mon 10/5 14%
Tue 10/6 10%
Wed 10/7 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at GPT more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±5 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
36%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
8%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
4.0d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at GPT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Arrive at GPT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
How late will it get to GPT?
On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
8%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 900 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
0.9 in of rain forecast at GPT that day
↑
9pm departures from DFW are often late
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
GPT usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.43 in
GPT (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 2,300 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.85 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.