Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 4329
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
MQ 4329 · PHX → LIT
departs 3:50 PM MT · arrives 8:47 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 3:00 PM ET · 4h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 20%
Sun 10/4 28%
Mon 10/5 23%
Tue 10/6 15%
Wed 10/7 16%
Thu 10/8 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at LIT more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±0 pts
+9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
10%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LIT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at LIT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
How late will it get to LIT?
On time or early
59%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
10%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, 1.1 in of rain forecast at LIT that day
↑
3pm departures from PHX are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX
↓
LIT usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
PHX (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
LIT (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 1.00 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.