Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5064 LANDED 9:23 PM ET, ~5 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Friday, October 2 Yesterday

OH 5064 · PHL → DAY

took off 7:58 PM ET · landed 9:23 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at DAY more than 15 minutes late?

65% chance · ±0 pts +26 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL

↑ 3pm departures from PHL are often late

↑ PHL is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BHM

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts27 kt Ceiling3,000 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.36 in

DAY (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.63 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5064 · PHL → DAY

Odds over time