Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5072 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

OH 5072 · DFW → BHM

departs 3:04 PM CT · arrives 5:06 PM CT

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at BHM more than 15 minutes late?

41% chance · ±0 pts −7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to BHM?

On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ 3pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ This flight has been late 39% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BHM

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.04 in

BHM (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling3,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5072 · DFW → BHM

Odds over time

How late will it get to BHM?