Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5210 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

OH 5210 · PHL → CMH

departs 12:51 PM ET · arrives 2:40 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 9h after departure

Arrive at CMH more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to CMH?

On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 1.75 mi, 0.7 in of rain forecast at CMH that day

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL

↓ CMH usually runs smoothly

↓ Arrivals into CMH at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts27 kt Ceiling3,000 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.36 in

CMH (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precip0.38 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5210 · PHL → CMH

Odds over time

How late will it get to CMH?