Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5274 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Today

OH 5274 · GRR → PHL

departs 6:59 PM ET · arrives 8:54 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 7:00 AM ET · 12h before departure

Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PHL?

On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
17%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into PHL at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 6pm departures from GRR are often late

↓ GRR usually runs smoothly

↓ Cloud base down to 1,000 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at GRR that day

Weather at each end

GRR (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling1,000 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.23 in

PHL (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5274 · GRR → PHL

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHL?