Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5277 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Tomorrow

OH 5277 · MEM → PHL

departs 11:15 AM CT · arrives 2:40 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 11:00 PM ET · 13h before departure

Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±0 pts +9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PHL?

On time or early
59%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
15%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 667 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at MEM that day

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL

↑ This flight has been late 30% of the time recently

↓ MEM usually runs smoothly

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MEM (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling667 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.42 in

PHL (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.09 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5277 · MEM → PHL

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHL?