Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5387 LANDED 12:06 AM CT, ~5 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Friday, October 2

OH 5387 · PHL → MEM

took off 10:51 PM ET · landed 12:06 AM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at MEM more than 15 minutes late?

56% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 27 kt, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.6 in of rain forecast at PHL that day

↑ PHL is prone to delays

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts27 kt Ceiling3,000 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.36 in

MEM (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility0.75 mi Precip1.11 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5387 · PHL → MEM

Odds over time