Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5428 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

OH 5428 · DFW → TRI

departs 9:00 PM CT · arrives 12:28 AM ET

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at TRI more than 15 minutes late?

41% chance · ±3 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to TRI?

On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at DFW that day

↑ 9pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ TRI usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.04 in

TRI (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling4,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5428 · DFW → TRI

Odds over time

How late will it get to TRI?