Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3482
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
OO 3482 · SFO → SAN
departs 1:21 PM PT · arrives 3:05 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 2:00 PM ET · 2h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 25%
Sun 10/4 30%
Mon 10/5 35%
Wed 10/7 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
40%
chance · ±0 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
40%
Leave 15+ late
45%
Arrive 1h+ late
20%
Cancelled
10%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Leave SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Arrive at SAN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
How late will it get to SAN?
On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
10%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 37% of the time recently
↑
1pm departures from SFO are often late
↑
SFO is prone to delays
↓
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi forecast at SAN that day
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
SFO (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip none
SAN (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 2.5 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.