Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3502
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2
OO 3502 · TUS → LAX
departs 6:20 AM MT · arrives 8:00 AM PT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 13h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Today 13%
Mon 10/5 11%
Tue 10/6 7%
Wed 10/7 9%
Thu 10/8 10%
Fri 10/9 12%
Sat 10/10 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
10%
chance · ±0 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
10%
Leave 15+ late
5%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
3.5d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Leave TUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −10 pts in 24h
−10 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Arrive at LAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
LAX is prone to delays
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
Other factors
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
This flight has been late 8% of the time recently
Weather at each end
TUS (origin)
Gusts 31 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
LAX (destination)
Gusts 12 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 3 mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.