Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3747 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

OO 3747 · AUS → PHX

departs 8:30 AM CT · arrives 9:00 AM MT

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 AM ET · 46h before departure

Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?

27% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PHX?

On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, 1.2 in of rain forecast at AUS that day

↑ PHX is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 21% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility3 mi Precip1.24 in

PHX (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3747 · AUS → PHX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHX?