Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3827
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
OO 3827 · LAX → PHX
departs 10:35 PM PT · arrives 12:06 AM MT
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 PM ET · 10h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 15%
Mon 10/5 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±0 pts
+16 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
23%
Arrive 1h+ late
18%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.1d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +16 pts in 24h
+16 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Arrive at PHX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
PHX is prone to delays
↑
10pm departures from LAX are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
This flight has been late 13% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 3 mi Precip none
PHX (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.