Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3945
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
OO 3945 · AUS → BNA
departs 3:34 PM CT · arrives 6:02 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 AM ET · 7h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 33%
Mon 10/5 20%
Tue 10/6 18%
Wed 10/7 19%
Thu 10/8 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
60%
chance · ±0 pts
+21 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
60%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
26%
Cancelled
5%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.8d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +21 pts in 24h
+21 pts
60%
Yes 60%
No 40%
Leave AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at BNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to BNA?
On time or early
38%
15–30 min late
26%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.1 in of rain forecast at AUS that day
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at BNA that day
↑
3pm departures from AUS are often late
↓
BNA usually runs smoothly
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
AUS (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.36 in
BNA (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.69 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.