Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3952 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Tomorrow

OO 3952 · AUS → MEM

departs 7:55 PM CT · arrives 9:48 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 5:00 AM ET · 40h before departure

Arrive at MEM more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±6 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MEM?

On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, 1.6 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at AUS that day

↑ Cloud base down to 667 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at MEM that day

↑ 7pm departures from AUS are often late

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ AUS usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility3 mi Precip1.63 in

MEM (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling667 ft Visibility8.66667 mi Precip0.42 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3952 · AUS → MEM

Odds over time

How late will it get to MEM?