Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4007
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
OO 4007 · MEM → DTW
departs 5:42 PM CT · arrives 8:41 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 9:00 PM ET · 2h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 19%
Mon 10/5 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±0 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave MEM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 36% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at DTW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DTW?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 1.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MEM that day
↑
This flight has been late 36% of the time recently
↑
5pm departures from MEM are often late
↓
MEM usually runs smoothly
↓
DTW usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MEM (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 0.75 mi Precip 1.11 in
DTW (destination)
Gusts 28 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 1.75 mi Precip 1.43 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.