Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4033
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
OO 4033 · ATL → SBN
departs 2:25 PM ET · arrives 4:20 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 9:00 AM ET · 5h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 30%
Mon 10/5 20%
Tue 10/6 16%
Wed 10/7 18%
Thu 10/8 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at SBN more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±0 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
4%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.7d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SBN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at SBN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to SBN?
On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 25% of the time recently
↑
ATL is busy at that time
↑
2pm departures from ATL are often late
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip none
SBN (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.55 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.