Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4033
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
OO 4033 · SBN → ATL
departs 5:02 PM ET · arrives 7:01 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 12:00 AM ET · 17h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 20%
Mon 10/5 24%
Tue 10/6 20%
Wed 10/7 19%
Thu 10/8 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±2 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.8d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave SBN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This flight has been late 30% of the time recently
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
↓
SBN is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
SBN (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 2.58333 mi Precip 0.30 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.