Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4053
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
OO 4053 · MFE → AUS
departs 5:01 PM CT · arrives 6:32 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 12:00 PM ET · 6h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 39%
Mon 10/5 16%
Tue 10/6 10%
Wed 10/7 11%
Thu 10/8 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
43%
chance · ±0 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
43%
Leave 15+ late
37%
Arrive 1h+ late
18%
Cancelled
13%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.8d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Leave MFE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Arrive at AUS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
How late will it get to AUS?
On time or early
50%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
13%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at AUS that day
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, 0.8 in of rain forecast at MFE that day
↑
Arrivals into AUS at that hour are often late
↓
MFE usually runs smoothly
↓
This flight has been late 15% of the time recently
Weather at each end
MFE (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.77 in
AUS (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.35 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.