Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4179 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Tomorrow

OO 4179 · SNA → LAS

departs 7:59 PM PT · arrives 9:17 PM PT

Forecast issued Thu 8:00 PM ET · 27h before departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±4 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAS?

On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into LAS at that hour are often late

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

↓ This flight has been late 18% of the time recently

Weather at each end

SNA (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.3 mi Precipnone

LAS (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4179 · SNA → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?