Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4448 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

OO 4448 · ATL → FAY

departs 4:35 PM ET · arrives 6:02 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 1:00 PM ET · 52h before departure

Arrive at FAY more than 15 minutes late?

27% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to FAY?

On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 30% of the time recently

↑ 4pm departures from ATL are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ FAY usually runs smoothly

↓ ATL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

FAY (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility1 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4448 · ATL → FAY

Odds over time

How late will it get to FAY?