Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4628
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
OO 4628 · ABQ → SFO
departs 1:25 PM MT · arrives 2:59 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 2h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 18%
Sun 10/4 18%
Mon 10/5 20%
Tue 10/6 8%
Wed 10/7 17%
Thu 10/8 8%
Odds over time
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
38%
chance · ±0 pts
+18 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
38%
Leave 15+ late
41%
Arrive 1h+ late
20%
Cancelled
4%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.7d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +18 pts in 24h
+18 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Leave ABQ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +20 pts in 24h
+20 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Arrive at SFO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to SFO?
On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 24% of the time recently
↑
SFO is prone to delays
↑
Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late
↓
Cloud base down to 300 ft forecast at SFO that day
↓
Gusts to 27 kt forecast at ABQ that day
Weather at each end
ABQ (origin)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SFO (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.