Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4655 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Tomorrow

OO 4655 · ACV → SFO

departs 2:05 PM PT · arrives 3:22 PM PT

Forecast issued Thu 3:00 AM ET · 38h before departure

Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?

41% chance · ±2 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SFO?

On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
10%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 41% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late

↑ 2pm departures from ACV are often late

↓ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at SFO that day

↓ ACV is quiet at that time

Weather at each end

ACV (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.2 mi Precipnone

SFO (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.2 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4655 · ACV → SFO

Odds over time

How late will it get to SFO?