Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4687
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
OO 4687 · ASE → DEN
departs 8:32 AM MT · arrives 9:50 AM MT
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 AM ET · 4h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 13%
Sun 10/4 13%
Mon 10/5 11%
Tue 10/6 8%
Wed 10/7 8%
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±0 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
18%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
15%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
3.5d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave ASE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +13 pts in 24h
+13 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
15%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
ASE is prone to delays
↑
DEN is busy at that time
↑
This flight has been late 13% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ASE
↓
Gusts to 29 kt forecast at DEN that day
Weather at each end
ASE (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DEN (destination)
Gusts 29 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.