Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4700
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Tomorrow
OO 4700 · LAX → ASE
departs 10:17 AM PT · arrives 1:38 PM MT
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 AM ET · 12h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 19%
Sun 10/4 22%
Mon 10/5 17%
Tue 10/6 14%
Wed 10/7 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at ASE more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±0 pts
+11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
25%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
9%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
3.6d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ASE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Arrive at ASE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
How late will it get to ASE?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
9%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
10am departures from LAX are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.2 mi forecast at LAX that day
↑
Arrivals into ASE at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ASE
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip none
ASE (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.