Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4713
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
OO 4713 · MRY → DEN
departs 12:29 PM PT · arrives 4:19 PM MT
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 2h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 15%
Sun 10/4 16%
Mon 10/5 22%
Tue 10/6 16%
Wed 10/7 17%
Thu 10/8 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
29%
chance · ±0 pts
+10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
29%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
9%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.7d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
29%
Yes 29%
No 71%
Leave MRY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
9%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late
↑
MRY is prone to delays
↑
Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at MRY that day
↓
This flight has been late 10% of the time recently
↓
Gusts to 31 kt forecast at DEN that day
Weather at each end
MRY (origin)
Gusts 9 kt
Ceiling 100 ft
Visibility 0.5 mi
Precip none
DEN (destination)
Gusts 31 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.