Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4731
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
OO 4731 · DEN → SAF
departs 8:25 AM MT · arrives 9:44 AM MT
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 AM ET · 3h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 8%
Sun 10/4 9%
Mon 10/5 9%
Tue 10/6 8%
Wed 10/7 10%
Thu 10/8 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at SAF more than 15 minutes late?
13%
chance · ±0 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
13%
Leave 15+ late
15%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
6%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
3.5d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SAF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Arrive at SAF more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
How late will it get to SAF?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
6%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
DEN is busy at that time
↑
SAF is prone to delays
↓
Gusts to 29 kt forecast at DEN that day
↓
Arrivals into SAF at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 29 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SAF (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.