Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4744
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
OO 4744 · DEN → COS
departs 8:30 PM MT · arrives 9:26 PM MT
Forecast issued Fri 12:00 PM ET · 10h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 18%
Sun 10/4 30%
Mon 10/5 26%
Wed 10/7 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at COS more than 15 minutes late?
58%
chance · ±0 pts
+32 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
58%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
24%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
4.0d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at COS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +32 pts in 24h
+32 pts
58%
Yes 58%
No 42%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +22 pts in 24h
+22 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at COS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +16 pts in 24h
+16 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to COS?
On time or early
42%
15–30 min late
39%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
8pm departures from DEN are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This flight has been late 32% of the time recently
↓
DEN usually runs smoothly
↓
COS usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 31 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
COS (destination)
Gusts 27 kt
Ceiling 200 ft
Visibility 0.13 mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.