Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4886
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
OO 4886 · DFW → PVU
departs 9:06 PM CT · arrives 10:59 PM MT
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 4h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 30%
Sun 10/4 28%
Mon 10/5 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at PVU more than 15 minutes late?
42%
chance · ±0 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
42%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
6%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
4.0d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PVU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed −15 pts in 24h
−15 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at PVU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
How late will it get to PVU?
On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
6%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at DFW that day
↑
9pm departures from DFW are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PVU
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.09 in
PVU (destination)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.