Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4942
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
OO 4942 · ORD → FSD
departs 10:30 PM CT · arrives 12:18 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 2:00 PM ET · 10h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 18%
Sun 10/4 20%
Mon 10/5 22%
Wed 10/7 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at FSD more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±0 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
23%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.1d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FSD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Arrive at FSD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to FSD?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 36% of the time recently
↑
10pm departures from ORD are often late
↑
Arrivals into FSD at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at FSD
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 2,800 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.10 in
FSD (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.