Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4943 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

OO 4943 · ORD → BTV

departs 8:47 PM CT · arrives 12:09 AM ET

Forecast issued Wed 1:00 PM ET · 57h before departure

Arrive at BTV more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BTV?

On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 8pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ This flight has been late 33% of the time recently

↑ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at BTV that day

↓ BTV usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling7,633 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.20 in

BTV (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.40 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4943 · ORD → BTV

Odds over time

How late will it get to BTV?