Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4956
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
OO 4956 · COS → DFW
departs 5:15 PM MT · arrives 8:19 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 PM ET · 3h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 47%
Sun 10/4 30%
Mon 10/5 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
62%
chance · ±0 pts
+13 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
62%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
38%
Cancelled
27%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
3.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed +13 pts in 24h
+13 pts
62%
Yes 62%
No 38%
Leave COS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +16 pts in 24h
+16 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
27%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
17%
Over 2 hours late
10%
Cancelled
27%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
COS (origin)
Gusts 26 kt
Ceiling 200 ft
Visibility 0.13 mi
Precip none
DFW (destination)
Gusts 16 kt
Ceiling 600 ft
Visibility 5 mi
Precip 0.11 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.