Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4968
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
OO 4968 · FAT → PHX
departs 4:38 PM PT · arrives 6:24 PM MT
Forecast issued Fri 3:00 PM ET · 5h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 22%
Sun 10/4 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
40%
chance · ±0 pts
+15 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
40%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
18%
Cancelled
7%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.9d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed +15 pts in 24h
+15 pts
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Leave FAT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at PHX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
56%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into PHX at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
FAT is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at FAT
Weather at each end
FAT (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
PHX (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.