Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4985 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

OO 4985 · PHX → FLG

departs 4:47 PM MT · arrives 5:49 PM MT

Forecast issued Wed 9:00 AM ET · 59h before departure

Arrive at FLG more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to FLG?

On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 4pm departures from PHX are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This flight has been late 17% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at FLG

Weather at each end

PHX (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

FLG (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4985 · PHX → FLG

Odds over time

How late will it get to FLG?