Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4996 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Tomorrow

OO 4996 · GJT → DFW

departs 4:55 PM MT · arrives 8:19 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 5:00 PM ET · 26h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

52% chance · ±2 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
44%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
16%
Cancelled
7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.8 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 40% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at GJT

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

GJT (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DFW (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.83 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4996 · GJT → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?