Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5071
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
OO 5071 · SUX → ORD
departs 8:10 AM CT · arrives 10:02 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 AM ET · 8h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 9%
Sun 10/4 17%
Mon 10/5 16%
Tue 10/6 12%
Wed 10/7 18%
Thu 10/8 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
17%
chance · ±0 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
17%
Leave 15+ late
17%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
12%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
3.5d
2d
1d
12h
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Leave SUX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
12%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
ORD is busy at that time
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 21% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SUX
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
SUX (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
ORD (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 8.4 mi Precip 0.14 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.