Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5136
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Yesterday
OO 5136 · PIB → IAH
departs 2:55 PM CT · arrives 4:25 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Sun 10/4 33%
Mon 10/5 17%
Fri 10/9 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±0 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.7d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave PIB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at IAH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to IAH?
On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 0.25 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at PIB that day
↑
Visibility down to 1.5 mi, 1.3 in of rain forecast at IAH that day
↑
This flight has been late 28% of the time recently
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
PIB usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
PIB (origin)
Gusts 9 kt
Ceiling 300 ft
Visibility 0.25 mi
Precip none
IAH (destination)
Gusts 22 kt
Ceiling 2,400 ft
Visibility 1 mi
Precip 1.47 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.