Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5254
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
OO 5254 · ORD → ASE
departs 7:47 PM CT · arrives 10:00 PM MT
Forecast issued Fri 3:00 PM ET · 6h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 15%
Sun 10/4 18%
Mon 10/5 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at ASE more than 15 minutes late?
36%
chance · ±0 pts
+16 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
36%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
26%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.9d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ASE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +16 pts in 24h
+16 pts
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at ASE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +20 pts in 24h
+20 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ASE?
On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
7pm departures from ORD are often late
↑
This flight has been late 32% of the time recently
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ASE
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 2,800 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.10 in
ASE (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.